Who will win in Maharashtra, whose candidates have the strength, know the complete equation
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West India, which wrote the new script of Indian politics in the last two elections, is in the news this time too. This region of 78 Lok Sabha seats in two union territories and three states will answer many questions. Not in terms of political strength of seats, but regarding the questions of the real contender on Hindutva and heritage. Such answers which will create a new chapter in politics. Along with giving seal to the real-fake Shiv Sena-NCP, it will also give a new interpretation to BJP’s Gujarat fort, which has been impregnable for almost three decades.
The battle of rise and fall in the west
The results of five states of Western India, which have 78 Lok Sabha seats, will play an important role in deciding the new direction and condition of the future politics of the country. Western India will reveal the whereabouts of the real leader of Hindutva. The results will show whether the real Shiv Sena in Maharashtra is Uddhav Thackeray’s or Eknath Shinde’s? Is the real Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) of Sharad Pawar, or of his nephew Ajit Pawar? The results of this state will decide whether a combination of Hindutva and secularism is possible in the country or not? The results will also show whether the Congress and the alliance of opposition parties led by it really have any future in the biggest laboratory of Hindutva and the bastion of Hindutva or not?
Maharashtra: The stature of Pawar and Uddhav will be decided
Maharashtra has been the architect of the biggest change in Indian politics in the last ten years. In the last two Lok Sabha elections, the BJP-Shiv Sena duo has not left the Congress-NCP alliance far behind. In these two elections, NDA had created new political equations by capturing 42 out of 48 seats in the state and raising the flag of Hindutva in central politics. However, after the last elections, the political battle has become interesting with the original Shiv Sena changing sides and NCP dividing into two parts. For the first time, there will be a direct contest between the opposition alliance Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) and the ruling alliance Mahayuti.
Mandate on real-fake
In fact, after moving away from BJP in the state, first Shiv Sena and NCP got torn on the issue of heritage. When the original Shiv Sena formed the government with NCP and Congress, Eknath Shinde took a different line and cleared the way for the BJP government by including many MLAs and MPs. After this, Ajit Pawar separated from his uncle Sharad Pawar on the question of inheritance and became Deputy CM in the new government. Now the results will tell who is the original Shiv Sena or the original NCP? The measurement of the political hold of Pawar and Thackeray will also determine their political stature.
do or die battle
After the split in the original parties, this election is like a do or die battle for Sharad Pawar and Uddhav Thackeray. Pawar and Thackeray may become history in Indian politics after failing to repeat the old performance. On the contrary, their better performance can give a huge blow to BJP. BJP’s strategy is to become the undisputed biggest player in Hindutva and rural Maharashtra on the pretext of Shinde and Ajit. BJP is also in touch with Uddhav’s cousin Raj Thackeray to eclipse his legacy.
48 seats in Maharashtra
2019
party seat vote percentage
BJP 23 27.84
Shiv Sena 18 23.50
Congress 01 16.41
NCP 04 15.44
2014
BJP 23 26
Shiv Sena 18 21
Congress 02 18
NCP 04 15.20
Gujarat: If Congress-AAP came together, dissatisfaction increased
By capturing all 26 seats in the last two elections in Gujarat, the BJP has ruined the chances of the opposition, especially the Congress, becoming stronger again. This time Congress has entered into an agreement with AAP to defeat BJP. However, after this agreement, the voices of dissatisfaction in the party have become very strong. Many leaders have said goodbye to the party. If we talk about the last four months, four MLAs have left Congress. Apart from these, a former MLA and Rajya Sabha MP has also separated from the party. Modhwadia had resigned because Congress had boycotted the Ram Mandir Pran Pratistha ceremony.
Gujarat: Total seats 26
2019
party seat vote percentage
BJP 26 62.21
Congress 00 32.11
2014
BJP 26 59.1
Congress 00 32.90
Signals will also be received from three states
Apart from Gujarat, Western India has Goa and two union territories of Dadra and Nagar Haveli along with Daman and Diu. The political strength of these three states is four seats. Among these, Goa, a two-seat state, is important from the political point of view, where Congress and BJP had got one seat each in the last elections. Independents had won the only seat of Dadra and Nagar Haveli, while BJP had won the only seat of Daman and Diu.
Goa: 2 seats
2019
party seat vote percentage
Congress 01 43
BJP 01 51
2014
Congress 00 41
BJP 02 44
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